Spanish Market

The biggest share capital increase operation in the history of the Spanish Stock Market is underway. Santander will issue new shares to the value of 7,200m€ which will be quoted on the Stock Market from the 4th December. The dilution effect of the operation on the earnings per share is not to the market’s liking and the value of Santander shares has dropped by 18.5% in 3 trading sessions.

From today and until the 27th November, Santander shareholders have the option of taking part in the share capital increase operation as preferential investors. The bank will issue 1,600 million new shares and those wishing to participate will be able to buy one new share for four old ones which have a discounted price of 4.5€. Those shareholders who decide not to participate will be able to sell their share rights on the market.
From today until 27th November, Santander’s shares and their share rights will have separate quotations. So, taking into account Santander’s shares closed yesterday at 6.8€, today they will start off the session at 6.34€, since the theoretical value, going on current prices of share rights of 0.46€, will automatically be deducted. The value of both share and share rights may rise or fall during the application period.

Santander hereby sets in motion the biggest share capital increase operation in the history of the Spanish Stock Market. In order to discover an operation of similar dimensions in which the issuer also paid in cash, we have to go back to Repsol´s share capital increase operation in July 1999 when the total raised amounted to 4,646m€.
The next biggest cash operations include the 3,447.8m€ which Mapfre raised in March 2007, the 3,374m€ by Iberdrola in June 2007 or the 2,9999.9m€ by BBVA in November 2006.

Likewise, the biggest non-monetary share capital increase operations in the history of the Stock Market have also been headed by Santander. The most important being in 1999 during the merger with Central Hispano when 14,271.2m€ were issued, while the second biggest occurred in November 2004 when 13,358m€ were raised to fund the purchase of Abbey.

Santander is back in the thick of it and this time with a guaranteed operation. The President, Emilio Botín, said yesterday that things were going extremely well and that the operation was a good thing for the bank and the shareholders.

The market, for the moment, has not taken it well and in three days the share has fallen 18% in value. Nicolas Lopez, Analytical Director at M&G Securities said “The price, more or less reflects the dilution effect on earnings per share - estimated to be between 15% - 20% - however the market has taken three days to take it in, so it is not known if, to a certain extent, this was expected or if it is due to the current situation”.

Other experts, including David Navarro of Inversis Bank, remind us that part of the fall is also an indication of the surprise which the news caused after the bank’s management team insisted there was no need to increase share capital at the end of October “The good thing is that we don’t foresee more Santander share capital increase operations.”

The most sophisticated humanoid robot in the world, which physically resembles a human being, and is designed in Japan, will hone its skills in Spain. The University has announced it will be programmed by experts from the Robotics Lab of the Carlos III University in Madrid to look after sick and disabled patients or move beds in hospitals. Two teams of scientists, one from Spain and one from Japan, working in close collaboration in a joint research laboratory with centres in both countries, are providing the training for the robot, named HRP2, which will equip it to carry out domestic, social, health, space, surveillance and aid missions amongst others.
The decision to locate in Spain (the robot is not being marketed outside Japan) is the result of an ambitious agreement signed during the recent visit to Japan last week, by the King of Spain who was accompanied by the Minister for Science and Innovation, Cristina Garmendia, to formalize the development of several joint research projects.

The robot’s body has a human appearance, 1.60m tall and weighing 50kgs (batteries included) with a thin outer casing to hide its sophisticated innards. It also has arms, hands, legs and a head with a total freedom level of 32 degrees - the technical specification for the type of movement of his joints.

The Future.

Montserrrat Torné, Head of the Ministry for Science and Innovation’s department for International Cooperation and Carlos Balaguer, Vice-Rector for Research at the Juan Carlos III University disclosed to the Efe news agency that the robot is due to arrive in Spain next summer and to be functioning for next October, although we’ll have to wait until 2010 until HRP2 is fully operational.

For the third year running, Spain leads the European table for the supreme award in ecological certification.

The ISO 14001 continues to be the seal of approval which assures company policy on commitment to the environment. There were no big surprises for Spain in this year’s annual list, published last week by The International Standards Organization which awards the certificates to each country. Spain continues leading Europe for the third consecutive year with a total of 13,852 certificates, 24.5% more than the previous year, widening the gap with Italy, which has the second most ecological companies in Europe.
Worldwide, Spanish businesses rank third in the list which is led by China (30,489) – a country which does not exactly ascribe a great deal of importance to ecological issues.

There are other green certificates in existence such as the C02 emissions compensatory scheme.

Some experts see the 14001 as a minimum requirement for companies.

The EMAS.

Experts consider ISO 14001 to be the minimum guarantee of environmental standards, although it continues to dominate the stamps of approval for quality in this field. “Several years ago, Europe launched the EMAS (Eco-management and Audit Scheme) regulations with the intention of substituting 14001. Although it was very successful in the beginning, only 10 – 15 % of companies now apply for it”, said Jose Angel Guerra, of the environmental division of the consultancy and certification company SGS.

AENOR (Spanish Standards and Certification Association), the institution which awards most ISO certificates in Spain, highlights the service and construction sectors as those where most environmental management certificates are awarded, followed by the chemical, oil and automotive sectors.

ISO 14001, with its more than 150,000 certificates in 148 different countries continues to symbolize an advantage for all those businesses competing in state or multinational company tenders. “Public administration services are putting more and more emphasis on the requirement of environmental certification in contract bidding. And this is not limited to 14001. The government has announced that companies with energy efficiency certification will have priority in tenders for public sector contracts”, said Jaime Fontanals, New Products Director at AENOR.

Green stamps are becoming more and more sought after and companies are demanding certification which values particular aspects of their activity. In response to this demand, AENOR has just launched its compensatory carbon dioxide emissions certificate applicable to events, companies, products, services, transport and buildings. The International Oil Congress held in Madrid this summer, and the International Pharmaceutical Congress held at the end of October, have been the first to adopt it.

Caja Madrid has decided to ramp up its presence in Indra. Over the last few weeks, the Madrid bank has been buying up small packages in the company and now owns 5% more than before. In its newest purchases, it has invested approximately 122 m€. The bank now owns 20 %of the technology company and is the major shareholder.

Despite the political mess in the Boardroom at Caja Madrid, involving those in favour of the renewal of the bank’s governing bodies -approved last week in the general meeting- and those who prefer to delay the renewal, the bank is trying to carry on with its normal day to day business

The Madrid bank has taken advantage of the fall in the Stock Market in the last few weeks to increase its stake in Indra. It has been buying small packages in the technology company which amount to an investment of 122m€ and have increased their stake in the company by 4.7 % with an average share value of 16.3€.

The financial institution is, once again, the major shareholder in Indra with 19.70% of its capital. Next comes Unión Fenosa, which controls just over 15%, followed by Casa Grande de Cartagena, the company in the Del Pino family holding company with 5.68% and Cajastur with 5%. Caja Madrid ´s new investments have been driven by the attractive share price of the company which is presided by Javier Monzón.
Caja Madrid has owned approximately the same proportion of Indra since May 2005, when its share increased from 10.04% to 14.99%. The Madrid bank first bought into the technology company in 1999 and since then profits stand at 20%. Yesterday, Indra´s shares closed at 16.13€, a slide of 3.18%. However, reports from analysts from the bank rate its value between 21€ and 25€ per share. The price of the share has fallen by 13.19% since the beginning of the year.

The Bank of Spain has cautiously acknowledged praise of its supervisory model in the banking system, but is preferring to keep out of the limelight whilst the global financial system undergoes reform. The caution which characterizes the Spanish supervisory banking model has made it one of the big winners in the financial crisis. Authoritative institutions like the American Wall Street Journal, the British Financial Times or Mervyn King, the governor of the Bank of England, have established it as an objective for the rest of the central banks to achieve.

However, this starring role has contrasted considerably with the low public profile of the Bank of Spain and its governor, Miguel Ángel Fernández Ordóñez, in the reform process of the international financial system, which the G-20 group formally initiated last weekend – a situation that does not only apply to the Spanish governor. Of the central bankers from other the member states of the European Union, only Mario Draghi, the governor of the Bank of Italy, has participated directly in the meeting and that has been in his capacity as President of the Forum for Financial Stability, the organism which is drawing up the bulk of the reforms to the system.

Having said that, however, no other central bank from the euro-zone has received the congratulations that Spain has, whether it be for its anti-cyclical policy – which amounts to nothing more than the creation of a cushion in times of prosperity in order be able to ride out the storm in times of hardship- or whether it is because Spain forbade investment in off- balance sheet vehicles.

Spain´s absence from the headlines does not mean to say that it is not involved in the inner mechanisms of such important negotiations. In the run up to the G-20 meeting, the Bank of Spain held meetings with the Spanish government to prepare Spain’s role and its proposals in the handling of the crisis.

Apart from contacts with other supervisory bodies and market agents requesting information about Bank of Spain practices, the bank is also involved in other organisms and forums such as the Bank for International Settlements and the Basle Committee, is working in conjunction with the rest of the supervisory bodies and is ready to offer advice gleaned from their experience in previous Spanish banking crises, especially those in the late seventies/early eighties and the early nineties.

Nobody would deny that this discreet stance of working on the nuts and bolts of the system instead of grabbing the headlines is an essential function of any central bank and its governor. The experience of the Spanish supervisor in banking crises has been much more recent than that of central banks in other countries and has probably increased the dose of caution being administered inside the bank. Although the Spanish banks have come through the first wave of the financial crisis (high risk assets (sub-prime) and structured products) with flying colours, it remains to be seen how it will cope with the second onslaught, which is facing up to how the real economy reacts.

The Spanish economy is on the road to recession; unemployment is heading towards 17%, the property market is in rapid decline, the trickle of credit continues and the level of bank defaults is rising rapidly. Added to all that, loans to the property sector amount to over 300,000 m€. Without doubt, the Spanish banks and their overseer have won the first battle in the financial crisis but the real economy has issued an all-out declaration of war.

In the midst of a liquidity crisis which is threatening to engulf small and medium-sized businesses, Caja Madrid is granting 2,250m € under preferential conditions to help pay wage bills, social security, rent and supplies. Additionally, it will offer credit for investments with a two year grace period.

Small business owners who are finding themselves choked by a lack of liquidity and are having difficulties obtaining credit to finance their daily activities will be able tap into the new credit facilities which are soon to be offered by Caja Madrid. The bank has decided not to with hold credit to small and medium-sized businesses and has assigned part of the 13,000m€ it has in liquid funds to help them.

According to sources close to the operation, the scheme will initially be rolled out in Madrid, but could be extended to other regions. It will provide 2,250m € for investment projects, working capital, internationalization and job creation. 2,000m € of the total amount which Caja Madrid is pouring into the programme will go to financing investment projects as well as the day-to-day running of businesses. According to yesterday’s edition of Cinco Días, the latter is a new scheme which the Official Credit Institute (pending approval from the Ministry for the Economy) intends to copy.

The bank will set up a specific credit account called the Basic Business Credit Account which will grant an amount equivalent to quarterly expenditure on wage bills, social security, tax, supplies and rents with an upper limit of 1m€ per company. The business will be charged the Euribor 6 month interest rate plus 1.0% with an account opening commission fee of 0.25%.

The businesses will additionally be able to take advantage of loans for investment projects, with preferential conditions, of up to 2m €. The most important feature of the lending facility is that the business will have a 2 year grace period during which it will only have to pay the interest on the loan, thus allowing the company to ride out the worst of the crisis. If the project is related to Research and Development and Innovation, there will be no account opening commission fee.

Caja Madrid will also provide 200m € more for international expansion projects and a further 50m€ for employing members of socially disadvantaged groups (the long-term unemployed, the handicapped and working women with difficult family circumstances.) Caja Madrid hopes that this scheme will increase their share of the market in the small and medium-sized businesses sector which stands at 15% on a national level with 18,000 customers and 43% in Madrid after opening to them 3 years ago.

Elena Laguía, representative for the Spanish Electrical Equipment Manufacturers Association, which is taking part in the “EP China 2008” trade fair in Peking, told the Efe news agency  “Spanish renewable energies technology is a possible door to the Chinese market in this sector.”

Laguía said “Spanish technology in the renewable energies sector is quite good and could be of interest to the Chinese market in the future.”

“Considering China’s circumstances (the biggest coal consumer in the world and with 16 of the most polluted cities on the planet within its borders), I think it could prove interesting for the future.”

She added “Spain is a pioneer in this type of products, especially in wind energy”. “There is a demand for this type of trade fairs (green energies). She went on to say “In fact, the electrical equipment trade fairs already have stands exclusively for renewable energies.”

Bernat Palau, manager of the export division of Circutor confirmed China’s interest in energy efficiency. “Energy control products and efficient consumption products are the most sought after. The Chinese are extremely interested.”

Regarding the effect which the financial crisis is having on the sector Boris Battle, Sales Director of Unitronics Electric, stated that “in times of crisis new investment is halted and increased maintenance is carried out on existing equipment.”

For that reason, and given the fact that Battle represents a company in the maintenance sector, the effects of the deceleration of the world economy, he says, “have not been felt either in Spain or in the export market”. The “EP China 2008” trade fair, which is being held in the Chinese International Exhibition Centre in Peking until the 14th November, has attracted over 400 companies from more than 20 countries.

The Spanish Government is finalizing new measures to alleviate the financial problems which small and medium-sized companies are currently facing. Ministers are analysing ways which would allow those businesses to use the Official Credit Institute in order to obtain the necessary liquidity to carry out their daily activities. The move was confirmed by the Minister for the Economy, Pedro Solbes, after a lunch meeting with representatives from the family-owned businesses organization.

Sources told the Cadena Ser radio station that finance for small and medium-sized businesses is currently a prime objective of the Government which, in a meeting at the Moncloa Palace with representatives from several political, social and economic groups, stated that the means to achieve that finance was through the Official Credit Institute. The same sources confirmed that the Government was studying several different, possible strategies :

The one which seems most likely to be implemented is to establish the OCI as a bridge between finance companies and the small and medium-sized businesses, something which has been already requested by the business owners organizations and the trade unions through other channels. Another option would be to extend the current credit facilities of the OCI which amount to less than 8,000 million euros at the moment, Solbes Confirms.

The Economy Minister, Pedro Solbes, confirmed the news reported by Cadena Ser that the government is studying new ways of helping small and medium-sized businesses :
“We are trying to implement specific measures in order to make finance available. In the case of the small and medium-sized businesses, we are considering trying to do the same as we are doing with the government-subsidized housing scheme, this time through the OCI and we are continuing to work along those lines.”
That way, the OCI would not be converted into a nationalized bank – an option which Pedro Solbes has publicly  ruled out on several occasions –  neither would it be limited to merely financing specific projects as was the case until now, but it would provide money to cover day-to-day expenses such as wage payments.
President Rodriguez Zapatero is greatly concerned with the latest unemployment figures which he links directly to the situation of small and medium-sized businesses which currently do not have access to credit and consequently find themselves obliged to make workers redundant or even close the company. In a press conference after a Ministerial Council meeting last Saturday, the President indicated his interest in extending aid packages to the small and medium-sized business community.

The prediction yesterday by José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, the Spanish prime minister, of mergers among the country’s weaker banks merely brought into the public domain a looming reality accepted months ago in private by Spanish bankers.
“When there’s a time of grave crisis like this, it’s likely that there will be merger situations and restructurings not only in Spain but in other countries as well” Mr Zapatero told parliament.
Although Mr Zapatero blamed the international financial crisis, and although the resultant seizing up of the interbank lending market has indeed worsened the difficulties of Spanish banks, the underlying reason for Spain’s domestic banking problems is the spectacular collapse of the local housing market.
Many of the 45 unlisted cajas, as Spanish savings and loans institutions are known, are heavily exposed on two fronts: first to property developers unable to sell new apartments and houses, and secondly to individual mortgage holders who find it hard to repay their debts as the economy falls into recession and unemployment rises.
According to Tinsa, the Spanish property appraiser, Spain’s stock of new, unsold residential properties is likely to reach 920,000 by the end of this year. Property developers and cajas focused on the Mediterranean coast in eastern and southern Spain are particularly exposed.
The strongest financial groups - including BBVA and Santander, the two biggest and most international banks, and Caja Madrid and La Caixa, the two largest cajas - are expected to weather the storm with minor damage at worst.
Some of the other listed banks may not be so fortunate, although an executive of Banco Popular, which had been targeted this year by short-sellers, said the decimation of hedge funds as a result of the international crisis had helped to relieve the downward pressure on the bank’s share price.
As for the cajas , bankers and regulators are almost unanimous in predicting that the Bank of Spain will push for mergers or take-overs of the weakest as the ratio of bad loans in their real estate lending portfolios continues to rise.
“The cajas don’t have enough capital in general terms to deal with NPLs (non-performing loans) over the next two years” says a senior bank executive in Madrid.
“You will see first consolidation among them and then public money . . . The problem is to find cajas with enough capital and enough liquidity to buy up the other cajas”
Credit ratings agencies have announced a wave of downgrades for Spanish institutions. Three days ago, Standard & Poor’s lowered its long-and short-term counterparty credit ratings for Caja de Ahorros del Mediterraneo, noting “a fairly fast deterioration” in asset quality as a result of the “drastic adjustment of the Spanish real estate sector“.
Last month, Fitch cut its ratings for Caixa Sabadell, Caja de Ahorros de Castilla la Mancha, Cajasur and Caixa Penedés.
The opaque ownership structure of the cajas and their political importance in the regions of Spain means they are hard to shut down or absorb into other banks.
But when the crisis becomes too grave to ignore, the fact that the cajas are unlisted means the authorities can perform the necessary operation quickly and discreetly. “Everything is impossible until it becomes possible” says the Spanish banker, citing the UK example of the Lloyds TSB takeover of HBOS.
Spain’s strongest banks are the products of mergers and restructurings during banking crises in the 1980s and 1990s. As Mr Zapatero implied yesterday, it may be time for another round of consolidation.

New shock treatment to reactivate financial activity. The government will back bank bonds and promissory notes until year’s end for up to 100 billions euros. Likewise, an agreement has been reached – a “preventive” measure – whereby the government will buy up recapitalized bank shares.

The Spanish executive put the decisions adopted on Sunday by the Eurogroup (made up of the heads of government of the Euro-zone countries) into effect these days. An extraordinary meeting of ministers approved these two fundamental measures to encourage a recovery of confidence in the Spanish banking sector.

The first consists of a large public collateral package for the banks. The government has committed itself to guaranteeing the issuing of promissory notes, bonds and other obligations undertaken by the financial entities operating in Spain. This measure, which is a fundamental step for the re-establishment of the inter-banking market, will be in effect until December 31, 2009. While the global amount has not yet been fully calculated, the executive announced yesterday that it would back, only until the end of the fiscal year, up to 100 billion euros of obligations. The 15 largest Spanish entities currently carry obligations for 2008-2009 of some 75 billions euros.

The banks and savings and loans opting in on this initiative must pay a fee for said guarantee. Affiliates of foreign groups operating in Spain will be able to participate if they have significant operations here. Regarding time limits, only those assets with a maximum 5-year lifespan will be guaranteed.

The Spanish Prime Minister, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, explained that the adoption of this measure is “vital, essential and indispensable” given the “serious situation” the financial markets are going through. He also reminded listeners that the decision to prop up the inter-bank market was taken within the framework of the Eurogroup agreement reached on Sunday.

The 100-billion-euro safeguard measure is complementary, said Zapatero, to the creation of a state fund that would buy up to 50 billions euros of financial assets.

Acquisition of bank titles

The second measure adopted by the government, and which is also within the framework of the Euro-zone accord, essentially authorizes the economy ministry to buy assets from financial entities that need to strengthen their capital bases.

This decision is of a “preventive” nature, according to Zapatero, since no Spanish financial entity currently has solvency problems. If that were to be the case, the government could purchase both shares and/or preferred and participating quotas, the equivalent of savings and loan shares.